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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/10/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 93rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing away from home, compiling 6.7 per game this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
  • The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-worst in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
  • This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
  • Michael Porter Jr. figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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