Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 4, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 22.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's averaged overall this season.
Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
In regard to offense, the Nuggets's excellent 115.8 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.
Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest FG% in the league this year (40.6%).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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