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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/22/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.7 minutes per game at home this year.
  • The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
  • The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.
  • Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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