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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 2.6 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile.
  • The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 6th-best in the NBA away from their home court with 11.4 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 93.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 13.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regard to offense, the Nuggets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-fewest in the league this year.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have put up 13.0 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Spurs, creating a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
  • The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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