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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/23/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has put up 23.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's put up in all games this season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year when playing away from home.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 110.8 points per game on the road ranks 8th-fewest in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against Portland is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled the least shot attempts per game in the league this year (8.4).
  • The 2nd-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year (the Trail Blazers).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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