My Account Log Out

reorder

Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 8.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.

The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Michael Porter Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™