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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 7.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup.

The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's poor 20.5 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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