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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing on the road, posting 6.1 per game this year.
  • Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.4 minutes per game this year.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 107.0 points per game places 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on threes (14th-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, marking this as a difficult matchup.
  • The least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
  • This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.7 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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