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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.7 treys per game on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
  • The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 15.3% more than he's made in all games this season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's poor 110.6 points per game away from home rates 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
  • The slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
  • Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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