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Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-145/+114).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -145.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 94th percentile for 3-pointers hit, putting up 2.8 per game this year.Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year.The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 29.1% higher than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on threes (14th-weakest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a hard matchup.The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.This year, the other team has secured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
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