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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 49.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.4% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 31.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 9.7 field goal attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, labeling this as a hard matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
  • With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's subpar 20.7 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Over the last 12 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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