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Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-155/+115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Michael Porter Jr. has converted 53.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's converted from three in all games this season.Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.7 minutes per game at home this year.This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a positive matchup.The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year at home.The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.Michael Porter Jr. has converted a measly 68.9% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 80.3 mark last season.As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game.This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
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