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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 13.5 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile for three-point attempts while playing away from home, putting up 6.7 per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when the Raptors are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).

The Raptors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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