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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 6.1 mark, Michael Porter Jr.'s shots from the field drained have jumped this year to 7.3 per game.

Compared to last year's 2.6 mark, Michael Porter Jr.'s three-pointers scored have jumped this year to 3.4 per game.

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Nets is a good one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (19.8).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home court this year.

The Nuggets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

When playing at home, the Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at getting to the charity stripe as the home team: 5th-worst in the NBA this year with just 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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