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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has made 63.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 31.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted a mere 6.9 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 7.8 mark last season.

The Nuggets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Atlanta Hawks are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (3.6).

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

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