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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2023

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.7 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of scoring, the Nuggets's lackluster 106.7 points per game measures as the 5th-lowest in the league this year.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have registered 13.9 points per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.
  • The Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made a lowly 66.3% of his foul shots this season, significantly less than his 80.3 rate last season.

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