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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 92nd percentile for three-pointers sunk away from his home court, logging 2.9 per game this year.

The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).

When playing on the road, the Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (6.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 4.5 field goals per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made a measly 60.0% of his free throws this season, significantly lower than his 80.3 rate last season.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 0.8 free throws per game this year when the Magic are on the road (15th-least in the league).

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