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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games.
  • The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Denver Nuggets.
  • The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.5 free throws per game this year (28th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.8 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a mere 68.6% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly less than his 80.3 mark last season.

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