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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 85th percentile for field goals converted, averaging an enormous 6.0 per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.0 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 8 games (the Golden State Warriors).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 11th-least field goal attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (11.1).

The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

While on the road, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's poor 17.8 foul shots per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year.

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