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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 10/24/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 6.1 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 4.1 rate last season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted a whopping 2.9 treys per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.1 rate last year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 29.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. stands to see a spike in output in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league while on their home court this year has been the Nuggets.
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a hard one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (14.1).
  • The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

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