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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has scored an impressive 16.9 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 9.9 points per game last season.

Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 3.0 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.1 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 28.9 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (17.9).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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