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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a terrific 48.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly more than his 36.5 rate last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a whopping 39.8% of his 3-point shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 18.2 rate last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.7 more than he's played overall this season on the road.
  • The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (14.1).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
  • While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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