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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a whopping 6.3 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 4.1 mark last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made a whopping 3.0 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.1 rate last season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 28.8 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers is a tough one; they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (14.1).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.
  • The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Lakers are the visiting team (15th-least in the NBA).

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