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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made an impressive 1.5 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.6 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Suns is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.9).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Suns have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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