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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 54.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year playing at home.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a whopping 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.1 rate last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's played overall this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are the visiting squad (27th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
  • The matchup against the Suns is a tough one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (13.7).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Suns have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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