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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has posted 22.4 points per game over the last 5 games away from home, 4.6 more than he's posted overall this year on the road.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 40.7% of his shots from downtown this season, a big improvement over his 18.2 mark last season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Timberwolves are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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