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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has posted 17.4 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 85th percentile.

Michael Porter Jr. has converted a terrific 40.2% of his treys this year, a sizeable increase from his 18.2 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.6 more than he's played in all games this year on the road.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup against Houston is a difficult one for scoring; when the Rockets are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 15th-lowest FG% in the league this year (39.4%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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