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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 81st percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup against the Grizzlies is a good one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 26th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.6).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 18.2% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 60.0% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. Memphis may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Grizzlies are at home (12th-least in the league).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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