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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 9.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.6% more than he's made in all games this year while at home.

The matchup against Dorian Finney-Smith is a strong one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.2 free throws per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Dorian Finney-Smith is a tough one for attempts from downtown; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 4.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (4th percentile).

The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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