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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 15.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when Butler is on his home court fellow starting SFs this year, they have tallied a massive 2.5 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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