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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made a terrific 6.0 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.1 mark last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made an impressive 38.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a big improvement over his 18.2 rate last year.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least baskets per game in the league this year (5.1).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.3 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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