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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged an impressive 16.2 points per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.9 points per game last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made a terrific 38.7% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly more than his 18.2 rate last year.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.
  • The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.
  • When playing on the road, the Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (40.4%).
  • The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 21 games (1.0).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Warriors may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 21 games (5th-least in the league).

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