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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/9/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.7 three-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.3 rate last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted a terrific 2.8 treys per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.1 rate last season.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Nuggets have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase opportunities for the Lakers.
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 21.4 free throws per game this year while playing away from home (2nd-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (77th percentile).
  • On the road, the Lakers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also reduces additional [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

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