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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.7 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 5.3 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has converted a whopping 2.8 3-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 mark last season.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 29.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Clippers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a colossal 21.9 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).

While playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Clippers.

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