Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has scored 17.6 points per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made a whopping 39.6% of his treys this season, significantly higher than his 18.2 rate last season.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Kings have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 fouls per game last season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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