Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2022

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 27, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-123).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.1 three-point shots per game this year on the road, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league in recent games.
Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.0 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year without the home court advantage.
The Kings have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.8 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against the Kings is a hard one for shots from the field; their opposition have averaged the 6th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (42.9).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league without the home court advantage this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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