Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · May 1, 2025

Updated May 2, 2025 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Clippers, creating a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The 4th-slowest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

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