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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year without the home court advantage.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a favorable matchup.
  • The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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