Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:04 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile for threes converted while playing away from home, averaging 2.2 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year.
The Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a hard matchup.
Michael Porter Jr. will likely see a decline in efficiency across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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