Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 4, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.
Michael Porter Jr. figures to see a rise in performance for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 9th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (1.3).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).

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