Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 6, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-169/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has made 2.8 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.6 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Michael Porter Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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