Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year when playing away from home.
Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (5.6).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year (the Trail Blazers).
Michael Porter Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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