Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-148/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, creating a positive matchup.
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
The Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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