Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 8.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league as the away team this year with respect to three-point attempts.
The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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