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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-210/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -210.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has played 30.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 41.6% on three-pointers (27th-highest in the league) against the Kings, resulting in a good matchup.

The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, the other team has captured 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted just 7.2 treys per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 7.8 rate last year.

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Nuggets's lackluster 10.8 converted threes per game rates 6th-worst in the NBA this year.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Michael Porter Jr. stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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