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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.0 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 8 games (the Golden State Warriors).
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Nuggets have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
  • The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 8th-least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.6).
  • The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • While on the road, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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