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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.0 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 8 games (the Golden State Warriors).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Nuggets have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts.

The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 8th-least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.6).

The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

While on the road, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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