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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 8.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team has come down with 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).

Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.5 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a tough one for three-pointers; when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 11th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (31.3%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while at home this year.

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