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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 38.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, a significant increase from his 18.2 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for threes; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 29th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.1).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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