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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 3.0 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.1 rate last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 28.9 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.1).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.
  • The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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