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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a whopping 39.8% of his 3-point shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 18.2 rate last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.7 more than he's played overall this season on the road.
  • The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games when the Lakers are at home (5.9).
  • The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
  • While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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